A new report by Shanthi Ravindran [pictured], Senior Analyst, Gorkem Yigit, Research Analyst and Glen Ragoonanan, Principal Analyst, Analysys Mason finds that "The worldwide network management systems (NMS) market is forecast to grow from USD4.6 billion in revenue in 2013 to USD5.6 billion in 2018, at a 3.9% CAGR, starting to recover from the 4% decline in 2012 and 2% growth in 2013".
These are much lower numbers than forecasted in the past by the Analysys Mason team.
2 years ago, they saw a $6.4B for 2016 (see "[Analysys Mason]: NMS Market - $4.7B in 2011, $6.4B in 2016" - here], and compare the two charts below:
"LTE roll-outs will still be the major driver of mobile NMS investments, followed by network upgrades and small cell deployments in the mature LTE networks. TD-LTE spending in emerging Asia–Pacific (APAC) – particularly China and India – will compensate for the decline in LTE spend in developed APAC.
Video, new digital services (such as home security and m-health) and small cells will sustain residential broadband NMS revenue at a low rate of growth, while national broadband network (NBN) FTTx spending, which has been focused in APAC,
Note the position of SDN and NFV as both drivers and inhibitors (see chart below).
See "NEPs' network management systems: worldwide forecast 2014–2018" - here.